The Omani Rial Peg and Your Property Purchase: What It Protects You From, and What It Doesn’t

Aerial masterplan view of Muscat Bay resort village

Take one Omani apartment priced at OMR 100,000. In January 2021 a buyer paying in euros needed about €211,500 to buy it. In late September 2022 the same apartment, at the same rial price, cost about €271,900. Today it costs about €230,800. The Omani rial did not move a fraction of a cent against the US dollar at any point in that stretch. The euro buyer’s bill swung by almost a third anyway.

That gap is the subject of this article. Almost every guide to buying property in Oman, ours included, says the rial is pegged to the dollar and leaves it there, as if the peg were a general guarantee of currency stability. It is a guarantee of one specific thing: that a rial will keep buying $2.60. Whether that protects you depends entirely on what currency your money starts in and what currency your life is measured in. For a dollar earner it removes a risk. For a buyer in euros, pounds, zloty, rupees or lira it removes nothing, and quietly adds an exposure you may not have priced in.

Below we use the daily ECB reference-rate series from January 2021 to 6 October 2026 (1,476 observations) to show what the peg has actually meant for buyers in seven currencies, what it does to off-plan instalment plans, what it does to rental income, and what to ask your bank and your developer before you sign. We are not currency forecasters and nothing here predicts where any exchange rate goes next; the point is to measure how much room the swing has historically had, so you can decide how much of it you are willing to carry.

What the peg actually is

The Omani rial is fixed at 0.3849 rial to the US dollar, which works out at about $2.60 per rial. The 2023 U.S. State Department Investment Climate Statement for Oman records that rate, notes that the government has repeatedly said publicly that it intends to keep the peg, and adds that Oman had said it would not join a proposed Gulf Cooperation Council common currency. The same document records that Oman does not restrict private capital movements in or out of the country, and that other currencies are in practice converted to dollars first and then into the rial, so that the rates of other currencies move as the dollar moves. You can read the full text in the State Department’s 2023 Oman report, and the Central Bank of Oman publishes its own exchange-rate data.

That last sentence is the whole story of this article. Buying a property in Oman is, for currency purposes, taking a position in the US dollar. If your money is dollars, you took no exchange-rate risk. If your money is anything else, you took the same exchange-rate risk you would take buying a US asset: whatever your currency does against the dollar, you inherit. Oman’s peg gives you stability against one currency and nothing else. The dirham, the Saudi riyal, the Qatari riyal and the Bahraini dinar are also dollar-linked, which is why Gulf residents often treat the whole region as a single stable block. A buyer in Warsaw, Frankfurt, London, Zurich, Delhi, Beijing or Istanbul does not live in that block.

We should also be clear about what this article is not. It is not an argument that the peg is about to break. The government has been consistent for decades, and our other articles cover the real risks to the Omani market (see the risks of the Oman market). It is an argument that the usual one-line reassurance, “the rial is pegged, so there is no currency risk”, is only true for part of the buyers reading it.

Three currencies in every deal

A foreign buyer of an Omani property is actually dealing in three currencies, and mixing them up is the commonest source of surprises.

The first is the price currency. Some developers quote in rials, some in dollars. Solaris in Jebel Sifah, for instance, quotes apartments from OMR 50,000, while most of our other Omani listings are shown in dollars. Because the two are tied together, the choice looks cosmetic, and for the developer and the Omani seller it is. The rial price and the dollar price are the same number multiplied by 2.6008 forever, as long as the peg holds. For you it matters only as a clue to how the contract was drafted and which figure appears in the payment schedule.

The second is the currency your money is in: the account you pay from. If that is a euro or sterling or zloty account, every transfer is a conversion, and every conversion is made at the exchange rate of that day plus the margin your bank adds.

The third is the currency in which you measure your own success: the one in which you pay your mortgage, your tax, your children’s school fees, and eventually the one you plan to bring the proceeds home in. This is the one that decides whether the investment worked. A property that gained 10% in rials but lost 15% against your home currency is a loss, and the peg did nothing to stop it.

The peg fixes the link between the first and the dollar. It leaves the second and third entirely unhedged. The tables that follow measure exactly how much that has cost, and benefited, real buyers over the last five years.

The same apartment, seven currencies, five years

We took a hypothetical property priced at OMR 100,000, which at the peg is $260,080, and priced it in seven currencies on the ECB reference rate for selected dates since January 2021. The dollar price never changed. What follows is only the exchange-rate effect.

Date EUR GBP CHF PLN CNY INR
4 Jan 2021 211,515 190,704 228,670 961,880 1,681,209 18,992,082
3 Jan 2022 229,045 192,706 237,565 1,051,191 1,653,094 19,329,146
28 Sep 2022 271,914 245,445 256,600 1,306,330 1,881,575 21,282,346
2 Jan 2023 243,453 215,773 240,361 1,139,671 1,794,188 21,529,422
2 Jan 2024 237,385 205,684 220,889 1,037,563 1,857,881 21,669,866
2 Jan 2025 251,992 209,450 236,140 1,077,329 1,898,454 22,304,461
2 Jan 2026 221,892 193,468 206,272 934,676 1,818,921 23,459,216
6 Oct 2026 230,792 195,897 215,999 1,007,420 1,743,732 25,076,914

Three things stand out. First, the 28 September 2022 row. In the autumn of 2022 the dollar was at its strongest against most major currencies in this window, and the cost of the same rial price was at a five-year high for euro, sterling and zloty buyers: €271,914, £245,445 and 1,306,330 zloty. Second, the rows after that. By 2 January 2026 the cost had fallen to €221,892, £193,468 and 934,676 zloty, a decline of 18% for the euro buyer from the peak, with nothing changing in Oman at all. Third, the Indian rupee column. The cost in rupees rose in almost every row, from about ₹19 million to about ₹25 million, a rise of 32% over the window. A buyer whose income is in rupees was paying more for the same Omani property at every date and never saw the relief that euro and zloty buyers saw in 2025 and 2026.

The next table compresses the same data into the best and worst cases for each currency over the period.

Currency Cheapest day in the window Dearest day in the window Dear vs cheap Change, 4 Jan 2021 to today
EUR 6 Jan 2021: 210,795 28 Sep 2022: 271,914 +29% +9.1%
GBP 18 May 2021: 183,000 28 Sep 2022: 245,445 +34% +2.7%
CHF 10 Feb 2026: 199,489 3 Nov 2022: 263,695 +32% -5.5%
PLN 28 Jan 2026: 912,855 28 Sep 2022: 1,306,330 +43% +4.7%
CNY 28 Feb 2022: 1,641,209 9 Apr 2025: 1,911,536 +16% +3.7%
INR 24 Feb 2021: 18,817,568 20 May 2026: 25,183,546 +34% +32.0%
TRY 18 Feb 2021: 1,807,374 6 Oct 2026: 12,790,474 +608% +567.6%

Read the “dear vs cheap” column as the width of the window. For the euro, the dearest day in the window was 29% more expensive than the cheapest. For sterling, 34%. For the Polish zloty, 43%. For the Chinese yuan, a more managed currency, 16%. These are not forecasts, and the extremes are single days rather than levels anyone could realistically have timed. They are a measure of how much room the exchange rate has had to move in a normal five-year stretch, which is the right size of risk to assume when you are signing a contract that will be paid over three.

The lira row is a category of its own. Between January 2021 and today the cost of an OMR 100,000 property rose from about 1.9 million lira to about 12.8 million, a rise of 568%. The peg did not protect a lira earner from that, because the peg is between the rial and the dollar and the lira has been losing value against the dollar the whole time. A Turkish buyer whose income is in lira has been buying a progressively more expensive asset in real terms with every passing month, and no feature of the Omani market could have changed that.

Instalments: where the swing really bites

The calculation above treats the purchase as a single payment. Many of the buyers we speak to are not paying that way. Most of the projects on our site are off-plan, with a deposit followed by instalments tied to either construction milestones or a monthly schedule, and some developers run post-handover plans that stretch payments across years. Our guide to Oman payment plans sets out the structures. What the guide does not do is price the exchange-rate effect of paying over time, which is what we do here.

We modelled a simple case: an OMR 100,000 property, paid in 36 equal monthly instalments of about OMR 2,778 ($7,224 each), with the first instalment on the first trading day of the start month. For each start date we compared two numbers in each currency: the total actually paid, converting each instalment at that month’s rate, and the total you would have paid if you had been able to lock in the exchange rate on the day of the first instalment. The table shows the percentage by which the real total was above or below the locked-in total.

First instalment Last instalment EUR GBP CHF PLN INR TRY
Jan 2021 Dec 2023 +11.4% +6.4% +5.0% +12.7% +7.1% +118.6%
Jul 2021 Jun 2024 +9.6% +9.3% -0.5% +10.7% +7.1% +130.4%
Jan 2022 Dec 2024 +5.9% +7.8% -0.1% +4.3% +9.6% +81.4%
Jul 2022 Jun 2025 -2.4% -3.6% -6.2% -7.9% +5.2% +66.5%
Jan 2023 Dec 2025 -2.2% -5.5% -5.4% -8.7% +1.9% +69.5%
Jul 2023 Jun 2026 -1.5% -2.1% -5.2% -4.6% +5.1% +37.7%
Oct 2023 Sep 2026 -5.3% -6.5% -7.5% -11.9% +4.8% +37.1%

This is the table to look at if you are comparing off-plan projects. Starting in January 2021, a euro buyer paying 36 equal monthly instalments ended up paying 11.4% more in total than the day-one rate implied, a Polish buyer 12.7% more, a Swiss buyer 5.0% more. Starting in October 2023, the same buyers paid less than the day-one rate implied: 5.3% less for the euro buyer, 11.9% less for the Polish buyer, 7.5% less for the Swiss. Same property, same payment schedule, same rial price, and a swing of as much as 25 percentage points for the zloty depending on the month the contract was signed.

It is worth noticing what the table does not say. It does not say that instalments are bad, or that paying earlier is better. Paying everything on day one removes the instalment drift but concentrates the whole exchange-rate bet on a single day, which in January 2021 was cheap and in September 2022 was not. Instalments average the bet over time. They reduce the chance of an unlucky single day and leave the underlying direction of your currency against the dollar fully in place. If your home currency weakens steadily over the schedule, as the lira did, the average is steadily worse than the start. If it strengthens, you are quietly rewarded for waiting.

Indian rupee buyers are the interesting exception in the table: every row is positive, between +1.9% and +9.6%, because the rupee has weakened against the dollar through almost the entire window. For that buyer, the intuition “pay as much as I can as early as I can” has held up, which is the opposite of the intuition you would form from the euro rows in 2023 and 2024. Neither intuition is a rule. The only reliable lesson is that the choice between an upfront and a staged payment is partly an exchange-rate decision, whether or not anyone has told you so.

For the lira buyer, the figures are not a swing at all but a one-way slide: +37% to +130% depending on the window. If you earn in lira, an instalment plan on a dollar-linked asset is a short position on your own currency, and the payment plan, not the property, is where most of the risk sits.

Entry timing matters more than the property

The same logic applies to the finished investment. Suppose you bought an OMR 100,000 property outright, the rial price has not changed at all since, and you value it today in your own currency. The table shows the exchange-rate-only result for four entry dates.

You bought on EUR paid EUR value today Change GBP change PLN change
4 Jan 2021 211,515 230,792 +9.1% +2.7% +4.7%
28 Sep 2022 271,914 230,792 -15.1% -20.2% -22.9%
2 Jan 2024 237,385 230,792 -2.8% -4.8% -2.9%
2 Jan 2026 221,892 230,792 +4.0% +1.3% +7.8%

The euro buyer who got in on 4 January 2021 is up 9.1% today on a property whose rial price did not move. The euro buyer who got in on 28 September 2022, buying the identical property, is down 15.1% on the same flat rial price. The sterling buyer who bought at the same peak is down 20.2%, and the zloty buyer 22.9%. Neither buyer made a bad choice of property, developer, location or contract. One chose a good week to convert and the other a bad one. For the next buyer, there is no way to know in advance which side of the line they are on.

This is why it is worth separating the two returns in your own spreadsheet: the return on the property in rials, and the return on the rial against your own currency. When a seller or agent quotes you a capital-growth figure for an Omani project, the figure is almost certainly measured in rials or dollars, and it is the first of the two. The second is yours alone to carry, and in the last five years it has been as large as the first.

The same effect on rent and on your exit

Rental income is paid in rials into an Omani bank account, or collected as post-dated cheques as described in our guide to renting out an Oman property from abroad. That income is dollar-linked, and what it is worth to you depends on the day you convert it.

As an illustration, rent of OMR 6,000 a year, a 6% gross yield on OMR 100,000 chosen purely as an illustration (our Oman rental yield analysis has the real yields by project), converts to about €12,700 at the January 2021 rate, €16,300 at the September 2022 rate and €13,800 at the 6 October 2026 rate. The rent in rials was identical in all three cases. A euro-earning landlord who converted in September 2022 felt about 29% richer than one who converted in January 2021, and the exact same landlord felt 15% poorer by October 2026. Gross yield, the number in the brochure, is therefore not quite the number you receive.

Two practical observations follow. First, if you plan to spend the rent in the Gulf region, or in dollars, you can leave it in the Omani account and the exchange-rate question mostly goes away. The same reasoning applies to a retiree living in Oman, which is the case in our guide to retiring in Oman. Second, if you plan to take the income home, the conversion is a recurring event with a margin attached each time, and so it is worth asking your bank what that margin is rather than assuming it is zero.

The same applies at sale. Our guide to selling property in Oman covers the process. Here the point is only that the proceeds arrive in rials and have to be converted. The ECB series suggests that a rolling 12-month window can move the cost of a rial by as much as 21% to 28% in the euro and sterling cases. If the day you need the money is not the day you choose, that is a number to carry in your head.

How wide can the swing get in one year?

Annual swings are the right size to think about for most instalment plans, post-handover periods and short rental holds. The table below shows the biggest 12-month rise and fall in the cost of a rial for each currency within our window.

Currency Biggest 12-month rise in the cost of a rial Biggest 12-month fall
EUR +20.9% (7 Oct 2021 to 28 Sep 2022) -14.2% (3 Feb 2025 to 29 Jan 2026)
GBP +28.3% (7 Oct 2021 to 28 Sep 2022) -13.6% (28 Sep 2022 to 21 Sep 2023)
CHF +12.3% (25 May 2021 to 16 May 2022) -16.1% (3 Feb 2025 to 29 Jan 2026)
PLN +27.9% (19 Oct 2021 to 10 Oct 2022) -15.9% (27 Jul 2022 to 20 Jul 2023)
CNY +14.7% (12 Nov 2021 to 3 Nov 2022) -7.1% (9 Apr 2025 to 8 Apr 2026)
INR +13.3% (23 May 2025 to 20 May 2026) None to speak of (the best 12 months was flat: -0.0%, 15 Mar 2023 to 11 Mar 2024)
TRY +119.6% (6 Sep 2021 to 26 Aug 2022) None: a rial got dearer in lira in every 12-month window (the mildest was +4.9%)

The numbers make a simple point. For the euro, sterling, zloty and franc, there have been 12-month periods when the same rial price became 12% to 28% dearer and 14% to 16% cheaper, within a five-year sample. For the yuan, the range has been narrower, about 15% up and 7% down. These are the sizes of move you should expect to be able to see again, in either direction, over the life of a contract.

Four listings, priced three ways

To make the numbers concrete, here are four projects from our own Oman listings that sit between roughly $107,000 and $195,000 at entry, shown in dollars, in rials, and in euros on three dates. The dollar and rial columns never change. The euro columns are what a euro buyer would actually have had to find.

Project Entry price in USD In Omani rials In EUR today In EUR on 28 Sep 2022 In EUR on 4 Jan 2021
Uptown Muscat 106,900 41,103 94,862 111,764 86,939
Wadi Zaha 125,000 48,062 110,924 130,688 101,659
Solaris 130,040 50,000 115,396 135,957 105,758
Olive Farms 195,100 75,015 173,130 203,977 158,669

The entry prices are the “from” figures published on each listing page, converted at the peg of 2.6008, and the euro figures use the ECB reference rate on the dates shown. The point of the table is the last three columns. The euro cost of Uptown Muscat’s entry unit runs from about €87,000 to about €112,000 across the dates shown, a gap of €25,000, and no change in the project’s price caused it. Our price per square metre ranking shows how projects compare per square metre in a single currency; this table shows how much of the real price you pay depends on the date you pay it.

If you are using these numbers to size a budget, ask your agent and your developer to quote everything in one currency, in writing, and to say which one the contract is denominated in. A bank, a broker and a developer sales office may each use a different mid-rate on the same day, and the margin between them is real money on a six-figure transfer. Our guide to what $100,000 buys shows the dollar anchor for the cheapest end of the market.

What reduces the exposure, and what does not

None of what follows is personal financial advice. We are a property marketplace and not a currency broker, and your bank or an independent adviser is the right place to model your own case. These are the generally available tools and the questions to ask about each.

Choose the payment structure with the exchange rate in mind. The 36-month table shows that the spread between a front-loaded and a back-loaded plan can be as large as the spread between two properties. If your home currency has been strengthening against the dollar, as the euro and zloty did in 2025 and 2026, a longer plan has historically worked in the buyer’s favour. If your home currency has been weakening, the opposite has held. You cannot know which regime is next, and so the sensible approach is to avoid concentrating the bet on either. A split between an upfront payment and a staged schedule, for example, hedges your own regret.

Ask about forward contracts. A forward contract fixes an exchange rate today for a payment on a future date, and many banks and currency brokers offer them to private clients for amounts above a threshold. The question to ask is whether the bank will quote a forward between your currency and the rial directly or between your currency and the dollar. Because the rial is pegged to the dollar, a forward to the dollar is the practical instrument. The State Department’s report notes that other currencies are converted to dollars first, which is what you should expect in practice. A forward removes the uncertainty in exchange for the cost built into the forward rate and the commitment to deliver the money on the agreed date.

Hold a dollar balance. Many buyers convert in tranches into a dollar account and then pay the developer from it. This spreads the conversion rate across several dates and removes the conversion from the developer’s due dates. It does not remove the exposure; you are still holding dollars. What it does is separate two decisions, when to convert and when to pay, that a fixed payment schedule otherwise welds together.

Compare the real margin, not the headline. Compare the rate your bank gives you with the ECB or market mid-rate on the same day and see the difference. If the margin were a percent or two, a transfer of $100,000 would cost an extra thousand or two thousand dollars, and across a 36-month plan with a bank wire every month it adds up.

Keep the contract in one currency. Ask which currency the payment schedule is written in and whether there is any exchange-rate adjustment clause. Our guide to Oman Real Estate Law 79/2025 for off-plan buyers describes the escrow and registration protections that apply; none of them is an exchange-rate protection. If the schedule is in rials and the payments come from a euro account, the entire exchange-rate risk is on you by default.

Do not assume a mortgage solves it. A local mortgage is denominated in rials, which in this case means in dollars. Borrowing in rials against a rial asset is a natural hedge in the sense that the loan and the property move together. For the buyer whose income is in euros, it does the opposite: the repayments are a rial liability against a euro income. If the euro weakens against the dollar, the repayments cost more euros. Our mortgage in Oman for foreigners guide covers the product itself, and the exchange-rate point is the one to add to it.

Mind the tax. The State Department report describes a 10% withholding tax on many cross-border transfers of profits, interest and other payments. Whether and how that applies to a private individual’s rental income or sale proceeds is a question for a tax adviser, not for this article, but it belongs on the same list as the exchange-rate margin. Our guide to property tax in Oman and the note on service charges cover the other recurring costs. Put the tax, the margin and the exchange-rate swing in one model and see which is largest. For most buyers outside the dollar zone, it is the swing.

Is the peg itself a risk?

A fair article has to ask the question from the other side. The peg has been in place for decades, and the government has repeated its commitment. We see no reason in the sources we have read to treat a break as the base case, and we would not build an investment case around one. At the same time, the peg is not a physical law. It is a policy, and policies are subject to oil prices, fiscal balances and decisions in Muscat and in Washington. The State Department’s 2023 report notes that Oman had chosen not to join the proposed GCC common currency, and that a pegged currency leaves the government unable to use the exchange rate as a policy tool. That is a trade-off the country has accepted, and for investors it means the exchange rate will follow the dollar, not Oman’s own property cycle.

The practical conclusion is a modest one. A buyer in dollars or a dollar-linked currency should treat the peg as a feature. A buyer in any other currency should treat it as a neutral fact, and treat the exchange rate between their currency and the dollar as the real currency risk of the purchase. Both can be wrong about the next five years, and that is the reason to size the exposure rather than to guess the direction.

Why the usual advice gets this wrong

Our own article on the risks of the Oman market and many others like it describe the currency risk in the Omani market as low because of the peg. That is true in the narrow sense that the rial is stable against the dollar, and it is a good short answer for a dollar-earning reader. It is incomplete for the majority of readers who are not dollar earners, and this article is meant as the longer answer. If you read the short version and took it to mean “no currency risk”, the tables above are the correction.

The same applies to price comparisons with other markets. Our developers guide and our handover calendar show who builds what and when. When you compare Oman against Dubai, whose dirham is also dollar-linked, you are comparing like with like on the currency axis. When you compare it against a European market or against your own home market, you are adding a currency position to the property comparison, and you should price it.

A checklist before you sign

These are the questions we would want answered before committing to an off-plan or ready purchase in Oman if our own money were in a non-dollar currency.

  • In which currency is the sale and purchase agreement and the payment schedule written, and is there any clause that adjusts the price for exchange rates?
  • What is the total of all payments, in my own currency, at today’s rate, and what would it be if my currency moved 10% and 20% against the dollar in either direction?
  • If I can pay upfront at a discount, what is the discount worth against the exchange-rate saving or cost of paying earlier?
  • What margin does my bank charge on each international transfer, and can I convert in advance into a dollar balance?
  • Will my bank sell me a forward contract for the planned payment dates, and at what cost?
  • If I plan to rent the property out, will I spend the rent in Oman or bring it home, and how often will I convert?
  • If I sell, in which currency do I need the proceeds, and what is my plan if the exchange rate is unfavourable on the day?
  • Have I read the tax position on rental income and sale proceeds in my own country, including any treaty relief?

If you are unsure of any of these, the right place to ask is your own bank or an independent adviser, and the right place to ask about the property side is us. Our guide to the best areas to invest in Oman and our Oman listings are a good place to start building the shortlist.

Frequently asked questions

Is the Omani rial pegged to the dollar?

Yes. The rial is fixed at 0.3849 rial to the US dollar, or about $2.60 per rial, and the government has repeatedly said it intends to keep it that way. The figure appears in the U.S. State Department’s 2023 Oman Investment Climate Statement.

Does the peg protect me if I buy in euros or pounds?

Not from the euro or sterling exchange rate. It fixes the rial against the dollar, so a euro or sterling buyer is exposed to the euro-dollar or pound-dollar rate on every payment. On our own sample, the same OMR 100,000 property cost a euro buyer between about €211,000 and €272,000 over five years.

Why does a property priced in rials cost me a different amount each month?

Because the rial price is fixed against the dollar, and your payment is converted at the day’s rate between your currency and the dollar. When your currency strengthens against the dollar, the property gets cheaper in your currency, and when it weakens, the property gets dearer.

Is paying upfront safer than paying by instalments?

It removes the drift between instalments and replaces it with a bet on the exchange rate on a single day. In our 36-month model, buyers who started in January 2021 paid 5% to 13% more over time than the day-one rate implied, while buyers who started in October 2023 paid 5% to 12% less. Neither approach is universally safer.

Can I fix the exchange rate for my instalments?

Often, yes, through a forward contract with a bank or a currency broker, usually quoted against the dollar. Ask for the cost and for any minimum amount, and check whether the developer’s payment dates are fixed enough to match the contract dates.

Does a rial mortgage reduce my currency risk?

Only if your income is in dollars or a dollar-linked currency. If your income is in another currency, a rial loan creates a dollar-linked liability that you repay from non-dollar income, which adds an exposure instead of removing one.

Could the peg break?

Pegs are policies, not laws of nature, and Oman has said it intends to keep this one. We do not treat a break as the base case. We do think a buyer outside the dollar zone should size the exchange-rate swing between their own currency and the dollar, because that is what has actually moved in the last five years.

Talk to us about pricing an Oman purchase in your own currency

Data and sources: exchange rates are ECB euro foreign-exchange reference rates, with the US dollar as the base, retrieved through the Frankfurter public API for 4 January 2021 to 6 October 2026; the full series and our calculations are available on request. The peg rate, the capital-movement and remittance statements and the GCC currency statement come from the U.S. State Department 2023 Investment Climate Statement for Oman. The Omani rial rate and the dollar equivalent are also published by the Central Bank of Oman. Listing prices are the entry prices shown on each listing page at the time of writing. This article is general information, not financial or tax advice, and past exchange-rate movements do not predict future ones.

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